Поліський фонд

міжнародних та регіональних досліджень

Polissya Foundation

for International and Regional Studies

The first results of public surveillance is a falsestart of candidates


On April 25, the Opora Civic Network presented a campaign of observation of the elections of People’s Deputies to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine and the results of the first monitoring report.

The organization plans to sell large -scale campaigns long -term and short -term observations, rapid statistical counting results According to a proportional component on the basis of a representative sample, it will provide 100% covering of sections by their observers in individual majority districts. As part of long -term observation in each of 225 districts will work observers of support,And on the day of elections to them will join yet 3 500 activists.The organization will use the latest means of disseminating information on observation results, including infographics and interactive maps.

Although the legislative terms of the campaign are limited to 90 days, and its official counting is appointed on July 30, the activity of political forces and the deployment of work in the regions signals the falsehood. The characteristic features of electoral activity are external and internal party manifestations of political struggle. The first is traditionally revived of agitation measures, increasing the number of political “jeans” in the media, the deployment of charitable activities, tours and working trips to the regions organized by national level policies. The internal party struggle is less public and is viewed through the reorganization of party structures, unjustified at first glance change of leadership, political migration of party activists, in particular, among the heads of local self -government bodies. The latter will play a key role in the 2012 election campaign. At this stage, the issue of nomination between political partners in single -mandate constituencies remains relevant.

In addition, a number of important decisions have been made over the last period, in particular the Constitutional Court and the CEC. Opora’s Civic Network believes that a decisionThe CCU regarding the right of candidates for parallel chatting in single -mandate majority constituencies and on parties’ lists is completely predictable. And here about uniform attribution of foreign polling stations to the single -member districts of the capital, in fact, narrows the constitutional right of 400 thousand citizens of Ukraine,outside the state.If the people’s deputies or the CEC do not offer a compromise option, foreign Ukrainians will be able to vote only for the lists of parties. This puts a separate group of voters on the basis of place of residence, which is contrary to the basic principles of the Basic Law.

The support marks Weighted CEC approach in determining the number of constituencies in regions. The application of the principle of proportional ratio of voters in the Crimea, 24 regions, cities of Kyiv and Sevastopol to the national indicator allowed to objectively take into account the demographic situation. However, the most important stage of the territorial organization of elections will be cutting of permanent constituencies, which should be completed by April 30.

In the agitation section, the most active are political forces that, according to recent sociological studies, overcome 5% barrier[1], or are on its limits. Among them, the Party of Regions, the Batkivshchyna, the Front of Changes, the CPU, Svoboda and the UDAR. Others are limited to activity in individual regions or regions of Ukraine. Opposition political forces, primarily Batkivshchyna, Front of Changes, Svoboda, UDAR, Civic Position, are in a state of organizational, resource or personnel transformations.

Future nominees began to place outdoor advertising, organize meetings with voters, hold social and charitable events aimed at young people, carrying out agitation events under the guise of public opinion surveys. At the same time, the practice of using all kinds of social initiatives, which are implemented for budgetary funds, is being widespread for advertising specific politicians or parties.

A loud fake election campaign distinguishes the political project “Ukraine – Forward!” Natalie Korolevskaya.

Much of the potential candidates of “majority” do not publicly declare their intentions to run, which is related, first of all, to the centralization of the process of distribution of districts in most political forces. However, well -known policies openly announced the elections, in particular, Alexander Yefremov, Viktor Baloga, Vasyl Onopenko, Taras Chornovil, Valentin Nalyvaichenko, Alexander Moroz, Petro Poroshenko, Pavel Zhebrivsky, Stanislav Nikolaenko and others.

Political conflicts between potential competitors are not a mass phenomenon. Support observers have identical cases of intra -party split and transitions, public confrontation between opposition political forces, facts of registration of party clones, etc.

Organizational conflicts accompany the division of future districts between candidates. This is inherent in both the parties of the opposition and conditionally pro -government block. For example, in the constituency with the center of Sarny of Rivne region, two representatives of Batkivshchyna will run to the Verkhovna Rada at the same time: Mykola Kucheruk, as a candidate for united opposition and Alexander Danylchuk – self -nominated. And in the Ternopil region, two members of the Party of Regions are claiming one of the northern constituencies, namely, MP Orest Mutz and supported by the local administration, Volodymyr Klimenko, Chairman of the Board of Ukrinbank.

Migration processes continue, which results in a change in party orientation of officials in local governments. For example, recently the ranks of the Party of Regions were supplemented by the Zaporozhye City Chairman Alexander Sin, who ran from the Batkivshchyna Party.

Public observers note the excessive attention of controlling, law enforcement and judicial bodies to the entities who have announced their intention to participate in the election campaign. Such activity during the election is one of the key challenges for public authority, which requires it a balanced and extraordinary approach.

Political parties and individual figures launched an election campaign long before the term defined by law. Although from a formal point of view, this does not directly violate the requirements of Ukrainian legislation, but contradicts the principle of equal opportunities. At the same time, agitation, accompanied by the distribution of goods, services, money, in accordance with the current legislation, is a manifestation of direct or hidden bribery of voters and must be punished in accordance with administrative and criminal legislation. Unfair practices of agitation activity are questioned by the readiness of individual candidates for free and fair competition. In addition, the number of custom image materials has increased in the media.

For the comments please:

Olga Aivazovskaya,

election programs coordinator,

063 617 97 50, a.olja@opora.org.ua

Spokesman

Yuri Khorunzh

y.khorunzhiy@opora.org.ua

063 616 04 81

The first report on the results of nationwide observation of parliamentary elections-January-April 2012

Civic Network OPORA – It is a non -governmental, non -partisan and financially independent all -Ukrainian network of public activists. The organization works for the development of civil society in Ukraine as the foundation of sovereign, independent, democratic, social, rule of law. Press – an organization of a network type that covers all regions of Ukraine at the expense of its own representative offices and partnership organizations with significant experience in the third sector.

The support has experience in high -quality long -term observation, which includes the analysis of all stages of the election campaign, from the beginning and to the announcement of official results. The organization is able to attract the required number of observers in accordance with the principles of territorial election organization.

In addition, the support for the first time in Ukraine provided a qualitative analysis of the voting day due to a statistically sound observation at specially selected polling stations. Thus, during the last two campaigns, the organization has mobilized, prepared and taught more than 3,000 observers. The results of a statistically sound observation in the first round of presidential race differed from the official data of the CEC by 1.15%, and the second – 0.6%. It is worth noting that the data is published in the morning of Monday, the next day after the day of voting, that is, long before the official. The support has developed and prepared special software, which makes it possible to immediately receive through encoded sms and process data statistically sound observation.

The Opora Civic Network has experience in preparing and conducting vocational training for election commissions. During our work, trainings were provided for more than 40,000 members of commissions of different levels.

The organization is actively involved in the preparation and discussion of changes to the electoral legislation. In particular, in 2011, Opora coordinated the advocacy project of the election initiatives with the support of the National Democratic Institute, which aimed at taking into account the public’s proposals to the Law “On Elections of People’s Deputies of Ukraine”. As a result, more than 60% of the fundamental recommendations have been implemented in a new version of the law. Opora is also a member of the working group under the President of Ukraine on improving electoral legislation and is part of the Constitutional Assembly.

In 2012The year during the elections of the People’s Deputies of Ukraine to the VRU, the Opora network implements a large -scale campaign of long -term and short -term observation, organizes a statistical count of votes on the results of voting on the proportional component of the electoral system on the basis of a representative sample, will provide 100% of the polling stations in their individual. As part of long -term observation in each of the 225 districts will work observers, and on the day of the election, they will join 3,500 activists. The organization will use the latest means of disseminating information on observation results, including infographics and interactive maps.



[1]Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation Research, which was conducted from March 30 to April 4, 2012