Expert opinion about the real chances of Chernihiv “mayors”
At the Clean Policy Expert Club, Chernihiv experts considered and evaluated the various ratings of candidates for the post of mayor and discussed their chances of winning elections
Gennady Maxak, President of the Polissya Fund of International and Regional Research:“According to our research, there is a certain three leaders with a slight difference in ratings. The other seven candidates are far behind. Today the leader is Alexander Sokolov, followed by Anna Romanova and Mykola Mikhalevich. These are unconditional favorites.
Although it should be noted that it is unclear to me a fairly high rating of candidate Vyacheslav Lebidy. After all, in all polls, he has little to do with the position of the mayor. “
Yuri Paper, political scientist:
“Indeed, there are now a three candidate rating. Although all the ratings that exist for local elections can not be regarded as an axiom. The peculiarity of local elections is a significant impact on the decision of the voter of the content of the election programs of candidates. After all, most people believe in good and can be positive.
In the case of Anna Romanova’s campaign, we have an example of ordinary network marketing. The result is not predicted. After all, hundreds of people who are recorded in a public organization should now identify with a specific political force. “
Irina Solomakha, Head of Public Relations Department of Chernihiv City Council:
“Today, manipulations are due to research and in their hundred percent truth is not to be believed. After all, each of the research companies supports a candidate. Therefore, it is difficult for the community to understand – where is it true. I want to give advice to Chernihiv: before deciding on a candidate, think about which city you want to live in. Our common future will depend on the will of the Chernihiv and their activity. If, during our choice, we are guided by emotions, not common sense – in Chernihiv to power can come his own Chernovetsky.
Pavel Pushchenko, Head of the Chernihiv Educational Center “Initiative”:
“It so happens that in eight years we have never found an alternative to Sokolov. In the list of candidates, I do not see a person who could compete with him. The leader and favorite of this election is definitely the active chairman. And especially after it was supported by the Party of Regions. Mikhalevich is the only candidate who could become a competitor in certain circumstances. But so he did not become.
Public opinion has shown that the elections should be prepared very scrupulously and in advance. They have been very persistently for two and a half years. And we see the result today, based on the rating of Anna Romanova. This is a prime example of any candidate can make a favorite by attracting a powerful resource. “
Vladislav Savenok, journalist:
“As history shows, in order to become the mayor you need to take into account Rudkovsky’s experience. Remember how he attracted the whole battalions of the electorate from grandparents in his election campaign. He was on his mouth all the time, he fought.
Who has been fighting for people now, at least in public? Of course, this is Anna Romanova. According to the classic election technologies, the student-student “spinned” the newspaper. In two and a half years of such a fruitful work, the mayor could be done, even me. I hope, Chernihiv – people with common sense and choose Sokolov, not Anya. Well, what can this girl give the city? ”
Oleksandr Solomakha, Chairman of the Committee of Voters of Chernihiv Oblast:
“I believe that sociological research at the local level is already ceasing to be technological weapons and will have little effect on voters’ minds. Moreover, their results are sometimes very different from the results of the election by many factors. I would like to pay attention to 25 % of voters who have not yet decided. These people will be forced to think and draw some conclusions before the elections. And their decision will be much more aware than those who have already decided everything for themselves
The election result will depend on the activity of Chernihiv. If the supporters of Oleksandr Sokolov do not come to the polling stations, then in Chernihiv the Kiev scenario can really repeat: then Omelchenko’s positions seemed so unshakable that his supporters simply did not come to the polling stations. As a result, the whole country knows what Chernovetsky’s reign turned. ”
In the discussion, the experts concluded that Alexander Sokolov, Anna Romanova and Mykola Mikhalevich are certainly the leading three candidates.
In the discussion, they made the thesis about the likelihood of victory in the elections of O. Sokolov – provided the activity of his electorate on the day of voting. But the lack of a worthy competitor to him today.
With regard to A. Romanova’s rating, experts came to a unanimous conclusion: two and a half years of active work with potential electorate and attracting a powerful resource was not in vain. By the way, a similar technological technique worked positively and in the election of the mayor of Kiev, when Chernovetsky won.
The third in the rating, candidate Mikhalevich could compete in the elections with the current mayor. But now his participation in the elections was threatened, as there is a possibility of withdrawing his candidacy from the race.
