The Future of Eu-Ukraine Relations
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by
Since 1991, Each UKRAINIAN GOVERNMENT HAS STATED THAT UKRAINE WAS AN INTEGral Part of the European Family and Declared ITSE EUROPEAN CHOICE.Heice, Ukraine’s European. inconSistenic.This can be explained, First of all, by Objective Factors, Including the Huge Number of Issues and Challenges Related to Post-Communist Transformation Irrational Decisions and Mistakes Made by All Governments have resulted in addiction Obstacles in Ukraine’s Quest for Europeanization.
One of the MOST CONTROVersial Issues is the Prospect of European Union (EU) Membership for Ukraine.Ukraine’s Integration Into The Eu is One of the Country’s Office. LAW IN 2010.DESPITE THAT, This Issue Remainned A Subject of Political Polemics, Resulting in Deapening Divergence in the Society.
The Active Political Measures of Ukraine Towards of An Association Agreement (AA) with The Eu at The Eastern Partnership Summit in Vilnius in November 2013 Raised Heps for the InTro. reforms.many ukrainians believed that the aa would Determin the Path of Ukraine for Years Ahead; The Path of a State Based on European Values and A European Standard of Living.the Ukrainian Government’s Decision not to Sign the AA Showed that Decision-Makers Had Failed to Deel.
The Scenario Project, ”The Future of Eu-Ukraine Relations”, was envisaged to facilitate free and open discussions on plausible Scenarios for The Future of Eu-Ukraine Relations. Friedrich-Iero-Stiftung (FES) Invited 26 Participants from Across UKRAINE WITH DIVERSE Expertise Related to Eu-Ukraine Relations, To Take Part in Tword Iarkhops Desi Images of the Future.the Project’s Overall Goal Was To Enrich The Debate on Eu-Ukraine Relations by Providing New Perspectives.
The Scenario Method, Rather Popular in Business and Management, is IncreAASINGly Used in the World of Politics.as The Saying Goes, It Is Very Hard to Make Predic Tions, Especial. Are Not About Forecasting the MOST LIKELY FUTURE, BUT ABOUT DRAFTING DIFFERENT PLAUSIBLE FUTures.The Core of the Delibration Is Preseted by Two Questions: “The”. Give Us An Idea of What the Future of Eu-Ukraine Relations in the Year 2030 Could Be Like.but they do not Tell US What Is The MOST LIKELY OUTCOME.THUS Justified.as long as they are plausible, they should be taken into a account by Policymakers and Experts Alike – precisely Because they descripible possibl.
The Project’s Two Workshops Took Place in Kyiv on 2–4 December 2013, and from 30 January to 1 February 2014.The Work on the Scenarios Was Finized by 14 febin. Intellectual Efforts of Each and Every Member of the Scenario Team, Who, Although Representing Different Institutions, All Took Part in A Private Capacy. The Course of the Exercise, Extraordinary Developments Occurred in Ukraine That Put Into Question The Basic Assumptions.neverthales, We Belve that the Underly Trends Area.
Guided by the ExperienCed Facilitator Björn Kulp, The Participants Tried to Develop Four Conceivable, Consis-Tent, and Consequential Scenarios that alike.Special thanks go to Maryna Yaroshevych of Fes Kyiv for the Perfect Organization, Constructive Suggges, and Remarks During Discussions.
One of the Majoor Steps of Scenario Building Is The Selection of Key Factors from the Present Sitiation and the Identification of the “DRIVING FORCES” Discussion, The Participants Agred on Three Sets of Driving Forces: Political, Economic, and Social.the Political Driving Forces Are The Association Agreement and The Visa-Frees Regime Regime Forthoming Elections, Foreign Policy in Russia and the EU, Public Control, and The Rule of Law.the economic Driving Forces Include Employment and Labour Migration, Trade and Labour. Innovation.civil Society, Education, and Social Standards Are The Moscial Social Driving Forces.
Despite Diffeering and Partilly Contradictory Positions While Weighting Up The Driving Forces and the Importance of Dierse Impetuses, The Participants Agreed on Fur Possible Eu-Ukraine Relations.in a symbolic manner, they were pointed out with the road signs that express the Speed with Whoh Ukraine Drives Towards the EU.
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