Поліський фонд

міжнародних та регіональних досліджень

Polissya Foundation

for International and Regional Studies

Ukraine and Belarus in the International Context: Allies or Competitors?


It is necessary that at the given moment the vectors of the non -policy, the rented Ukraine and Belarus, the meaningful image is squeezed, that the unusual platform for the hundredths in the international aspect.

Clean the topics, it can be presented that the prospective format of the international hundredth of Ukraine and Belarus is all the program of the EU “Extreme Partnership”.

The fact that today (15 Novabry) passes the minister of the external delus Sergey Martinov and the European Commission on the question of the dissemination of the EC and the European Police of the Fule, which was a corner of the Fule. In the negotiations, the whole complex of Belaray and Eurosoyuz, including practical questions, participation of the country in the “East Partnerswe” will be adjusted. In the personalities, the prospects for the development of polytic dialogue, the dear diligence of the hundredth of the hundreds in the areas of unrealiasis, as well as the design partnerships for realization in the framework of the “framework, are

In this way, teaching tendencies 2009-2010, the slight will come to life of the darling of Ukraine and Belarus within the data of the data program, aimed at the approximation of the pond-partner in the polytic and econneys.

When this is important to read thatOn the effectiveness of this one hundredths will pose a number of factors.

In the first, this readiness of Minsk will begin to specific projects of hundreds in the bolting from the predictable programmatic themed platforms. It is no secret that at the given moment of time the European vector of the Belaraus development to the concept of another is not formulated, and in the bolted steppes the manipulation of the reinforcement with the Kremlin. If in the future will not be the evil progress in the process of reforming the state and the reform of the treated European Institute, it is more likely that the “Okno of the prisoners” for Belarus will build a meaningful image.

In this context, it is necessary to say that it is painful Minsk to be interested in one hundredth with the closer sosseds – Vilnius and Kiev. However, according to the moneral of the expert, in the closer time, they do not get up to the other inchiarism on the rope of the “east partnership”, which in many ways in the position of Minsk in a number of investigations.

(In the frequency, it will be given to the supply of Ukrainian electrenergia in Lithuania – the parties could not agree on the tsen, and the bush of Belorussia and Vovce stated that the desired to buy electrenergy in Ukraine and ee.

What is minsk and Kiev, then the release of the soviet Soviet Dance of Kiev Minsk (the Random of $ 150 million), which will not be desirable to be recognized. In the reference to this Belorusian, she did not give a course of the border of Ukraine, non -motto on the fact that the document was ratified by the parliament of the Country).

In-the-gaps, this position of Russia with the realization of the “east partnership”, the script of the project was the project to make a propriolia with the noise of the Russian side. If the position of the podzorizing reference to the program, the instantaneous of the intersecting EC into the “Zone of the Priority Interesov” Russia, Saved, relevant to the verotims can be the anti -water development of soviet projects.

In the same time, an important factor in the long-haired development of Ukrainian-Belorus is released, incl. Within the framework of the Early Partnership, there is a recent conflict, whom the expense of the Russian Federation and Belarus. Analysis of the late tendencies in the interruption The mosquitoes of the Moscow make such a model of the west with Belorussian state and his handwriting, which would have been rebellious to the reality of strategic interests of the Russian Federation in Region. At this Kremlin Verovyatney, he does not put the art of A. Lukashenko on the post of the President, and only the Creation of the non -existent argument for its vanity to the strangers of the unbearable.

It is necessary to reflect that it conflicts between D. Medvedev and A. Lukashenko puts a complex diplomatic task before the head of Ukraine: as the soch Ukrainian authorities formula “friends against” someone. It is a matter of fact that this format is exposed to this format – the President of Georgia M. Saakashvil was already the exclusion of President Belarus, he will be cut to Guam, and he founded a weak Ukraine called in this organization.

From the second sides, the polytic dialectics leads to the fact that the non -copular aspects of the problem, manifested in the post -time The turnover, in the speech, the cogd Belarus Stanet will diversify their export-import flows.

In-threes, this is a reference of the es of the EC in the reality of the “east partnership” with specific immigrants and maternal pre-containing initiative and projects. At the given moment, it is a great way that the program can repeat the Judicial European Politics of Socialism, which has been conquered by its many efficiency.

The excel from this, dice -shaped to the sightThe steps, which would be to form the invocation

Create a consuming Ukrainian-Belarusian group from the number of representatives of the authorities and public experts for a meeting of the package of soviet projects, which can be realized within the “Extreme Partnership”. Particularly important in the context of the development of gaping regions, the intelligence of infrastructures. At this moment, such groups are worn autonomously with ministers and leads in Ukraine and Belarus and they will be broken by the national projects.

The fact that the forum of the citizen of the citizen of the citizen will be in the form of the ezhodna inter-international conference, it is also conducted by the cultivated Ukrainian-bearing conferences with the cellar. aimed at the development of the “East Partnership”.

The duck on the data of the nor of the fourth visa on the earliest guide of Ukraine and Belarus of the soviet participation in interdigital economic projects (participating Belarus into Eantk, Transit of Ukrainian Balt. Tempov’s realization, he will include in a new strategic document, which will be prepared for an inter-judgment of a dolgorical eco-econnemal programs. Belarus “Obanomic hundreds for 1999-2008”. Realization of the specified projects within the framework of the “Extreme Partnership” could help the attached resources.

Also good practice of coordination of Ukraina and bellarus, the consciousness of the conscious position on the reference to the reconciliation, in the fabric, the program of “east partnership”, may be regular consultation on the earlier. The precedent of this provision in October 2008.

Increasing Ukraine in the brought of a membership in such organizations as the Soviet of Europe and DTO, then the initiative in the issue of an issue is from Belorussian sides. The head of Ukraine repeatedly declared the proportion of its assistance.

Instruments of assistance can be the creation of experts’ joints on the adaptation of the Ukrainian enrollment and membership in these structures;

In any case, membership in the Soviet Europams and we become an anchored premises for the pain of the tent of Ukraine and Belarus in Europe.

5. The prospective project of the three -sided one -in -law, the intersection of Ukraine, Belarus and EC within the framework Financial help from Eurosoyuz for the development of a consonant infrastructure. The argument of the Create was laid in the 2008 year, the cogd was signed by the breadth of the Baltic Sea of ​​Baltic Sea – the Chernooe sea, Belarus and Lithuania. In this context, it is necessary to create a “road map” of the realization of the project with the intersection between the parties of the fates of the inner and launching of vials.

Also in this direction of the country’s labeled stone, the concept of delicitation and demarcation of Ukrainian-bealorus state by transport.

It is necessary to read that, when the darling of the more conscious polytic interection of Ukraine and Belarus, the Nelya scatter the spit of Russia to control the dinamics It is no secret that the head of the Russian Federation of the Russian Federation is of course the energy of the Energetic.

The posts of the rose by water of transportation of natural gases (“nortal sweeps” and “southern sweep”), with the optimal transmitting way routes. In the same time, Russia is the torque to control the gas sector of Ukraine and Belarus. The urgent relevant to the question of diversification of energy supplies to Ukraine and Belarus. In the future, the height of the deposited transition of soverends to the natural gas (LNG). However, this question is a distant perspective, a scraping with a need for a fee of special thermalinlovasisopics Termain on the Baltic Coast in Poland, which Warsaw plans plans to post in 2015.

In the phelons, the precipitation of Belarus and Ukraine, it shedtrate that there is a general paradigm, logic and thoughtful strategy for a long -term perspective. From one sides, this is explained the chaotic of the Bellorussian mode, which is brown into different sides, the rushing of the rowing econmic problems. In addition, the non -media of the very mode of the regime is the lichen of the loving two -sided quenching of any smart. With the second sides, activation of the Kiev inter-conservation dialogue with Russia, as well as the tire of the rosi-belorussian, which is acquired on the gonous day, the creation of the pre-dedication of the location Reflected.

This does not mean the relevant prospects for the dear effective development of Ukrainian-Belarus, however, the disabilities of the specific plan of the general act, aimed at the depressing, and polystymic, and polystymic, and polystymic. In any case, the name of the dinamic is the name of Ukraine and Belarus, which is acquired in the post -monstees, says that the geopolytic picture of Region will be the geopolitical picture.

If says Fr.Themed platforms of the one, then in the context of the intensity of Ukraine and Belarus, the more interes will be able to represent the network of priority:

– energy free;

– economic integration and consciousness CO standards;

– Contacts between citizens.

Boris Uvarov